A blog about Marinwood-Lucas Valley and the Marin Housing Element, politics, economics and social policy. The MOST DANGEROUS BLOG in Marinwood-Lucas Valley.
Saturday, July 26, 2014
Saturday Night Videos
LOVE JAPAN from David Anthony Parkinson on Vimeo.
Dear Guardians - A Burning Man Short Film from Ian MacKenzie on Vimeo.
Numbers from Robert Hloz on Vimeo.
SKIN from Tom Gould on Vimeo.
Duke Dumont - Won't Look Back (Directors Cut) from Tim & Joe on Vimeo.
The Adobe Illustrator Story from Terry Hemphill on Vimeo.
Oxyde Noir - Alabaster (vapor mix) from oxyde noir on Vimeo.
MUSIC NATION - SOAP THE STAMPS from Jim Demuth on Vimeo.
NOT MINE from Guy Trefler on Vimeo.
In Turkey - 2014 from Vincent Urban on Vimeo.
THE SPACE WITHIN from Dark Rye on Vimeo.
Drifters from ethan clarke on Vimeo.
Oceans and Castles from Benjamin Dowie on Vimeo.
The Story of a Story from BRIKK on Vimeo.
[BRDG017] Dream Land from BRDG on Vimeo.
Iconic Houses from Matteo Muci on Vimeo.
Buy Buy Baby from Gervart on Vimeo.
The advertisement in the SF Chronicle could apply equally well to the Marinwood CSD
For years and years the previous Marinwood CSD board has approved of Cash on Cash accounting as is described in the above advertisement. Government is required to used modified Accrual account which more accurately reflects the financial position. This has lead to massive miscalculation of liabilities and several mid year "surprises". Total pension and healthcare liabilities are also not accounted for. Our pool equipment, pool house and maintenance shed have had years of deferred maintenance and little capital has been set aside to replace equipment. The new CSD directors Justin Kai, Deana Dearborn and Bill Shea are committed to improving the financial situation but it will take years to sort out. Bill Hansel also has sought streamlining of Park and Recreation services.
In the coming months, we will hire a new CSD Manager to replace retiring Tom Horne and we will begin negotiations with our Fireman's Union. A new costly Fire Truck is proposed but leasing is our only option.
You can attend the CSD board meetings the second Tuesday of every month at the Marinwood Community Center at 775 Miller Creek Rd.
In the coming months, we will hire a new CSD Manager to replace retiring Tom Horne and we will begin negotiations with our Fireman's Union. A new costly Fire Truck is proposed but leasing is our only option.
You can attend the CSD board meetings the second Tuesday of every month at the Marinwood Community Center at 775 Miller Creek Rd.
California drought: 'Water cops' being hired by Bay Area agencies to root out water waste
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Friday, July 25, 2014
Socialists Are Cheaters, Says New Study
Socialists Are Cheaters, Says New Study
"The longer individuals were exposed to socialism, the more likely they were to cheat on our task," according to a new study, "The (True) Legacy of Two Really Existing Economic Systems," from Duke University and the University of Munich. The team of researchers concluded this after working with 259 participants from Berlin who grew up on opposite sides of the infamous wall.
When playing a dice game that could earn them €6 ($8), subjects originally from the East, which was for four decades under socialist rule, were more likely than their market economy counterparts in West to lie about how they fared. The Economist explains the task:
The paper discusses some potentially related reasons for the outcome, such as the fact that
In another aspect of the study, the researchers note that "we did not observe an overall difference between East and West Germans in pro-social behavior," such as donating to hospitals, the capitalist-influenced demographic does, in fact, donate marginally more.
When playing a dice game that could earn them €6 ($8), subjects originally from the East, which was for four decades under socialist rule, were more likely than their market economy counterparts in West to lie about how they fared. The Economist explains the task:
The game was simple enough. Each participant was asked to throw a die 40 times and record each roll on a piece of paper. A higher overall tally earned a bigger payoff. Before each roll, players had to commit themselves to write down the number that was on either the top or the bottom side of the die. However, they did not have to tell anyone which side they had chosen, which made it easy to cheat by rolling the die first and then pretending that they had selected the side with the highest number. If they picked the top and then rolled a two, for example, they would have an incentive to claim—falsely—that they had chosen the bottom, which would be a five.The results were that "East Germans cheated twice as much as West Germans overall," leaving the researchers to conclude the "the political regime of socialism has a lasting impact on citizens' basic morality."
The paper discusses some potentially related reasons for the outcome, such as the fact that
socialist systems have been characterized by extensive scarcity, which ultimately led to the collapse of the German Democratic Republic (GDR) in East Germany. In many instances, socialism pressured or forced people to work around official laws. For instance, in East Germany stealing a load of building materials in order to trade it for a television set might have been the only way for a driver of gravel loads to connect to the outside world. Moreover, socialist systems have been characterized by a high degree of infiltration by the intelligence apparatus.The Duke-Munich team positions their work against a 2013 study, "Of Morals, Markets and Mice," which concluded "that market economies decay morals" but "compared decisions in bilateral and multilateral market settings to individual decisions rather than an alternative economic allocation mechanism." The new research finds that "political and economic regimes such as socialism might have an even more detrimental effect on individuals’ behavior."
In another aspect of the study, the researchers note that "we did not observe an overall difference between East and West Germans in pro-social behavior," such as donating to hospitals, the capitalist-influenced demographic does, in fact, donate marginally more.
Klamath River Basin Dam Removal Whistle Blower, Dr. Paul R. Houser PhD
PLEASE HELP US STOP THE REMOVAL OF THE KLAMATH RIVER DAMS AND RESERVOIRS!!
...
Water Bonds are being created for California's November election to DESTROY THE KLAMATH RIVER DAMS while "saving" the San Joaquin Valley. These bonds pit one agricultural community against the other … while only a few will WIN in the bitter end. THIS IS ABSOLUTELY UNNECESSARY. The government is creating in-fighting by exacerbating issues into crises instead of creating a WIN WIN for all.
The public is being told that Four CLEAN GREEN RENEWABLE HYDRO ENERGY dams on the Klamath River (and their water storage reservoirs behind the dams used for eco-systems, recreation, flood control, fire suppression, agriculture, and burial grounds for the Shasta Tribe) need to be destroyed to save a fish that is only "endangered" in California but swims in plethora throughout colder areas of the world.
This destroy-the-dams-plan is a scam. Federal scientists have been fired for speaking out against the "science" used to push forward this agenda.
The destruction of these California dams and reservoirs will devastate tens of thousands who live in the Klamath River basin including the farming and ranching community of Siskiyou County - everyone in California will be impacted…especially as MORE stored water is needed during droughts and fire season and less water should be wasted out to sea. Furthermore, Southern California receives water from the North…as SoCal continues to water lawns, fountains, swimming pools and more…we fight for our lives in Siskiyou County.
PLEASE HELP US STOP THE REMOVAL OF THE KLAMATH RIVER DAMS AND RESERVOIRS!!
The public is being told that Four CLEAN GREEN RENEWABLE HYDRO ENERGY dams on the Klamath River (and their water storage reservoirs behind the dams used for eco-systems, recreation, flood control, fire suppression, agriculture, and burial grounds for the Shasta Tribe) need to be destroyed to save a fish that is only "endangered" in California but swims in plethora throughout colder areas of the world.
This destroy-the-dams-plan is a scam. Federal scientists have been fired for speaking out against the "science" used to push forward this agenda.
The destruction of these California dams and reservoirs will devastate tens of thousands who live in the Klamath River basin including the farming and ranching community of Siskiyou County - everyone in California will be impacted…especially as MORE stored water is needed during droughts and fire season and less water should be wasted out to sea. Furthermore, Southern California receives water from the North…as SoCal continues to water lawns, fountains, swimming pools and more…we fight for our lives in Siskiyou County.
PLEASE HELP US STOP THE REMOVAL OF THE KLAMATH RIVER DAMS AND RESERVOIRS!!
Thursday, July 24, 2014
The 'spinning' of Marin's commute numbers
Marin Voice: The 'spinning' of Marin's commute numbers
By Randy Warren
Posted:
07/17/2014 05:21:50 PM PDT
Controversy
surrounds "in-commuters." The League of Women Voters of Marin County,
admitting it wears two hats, advocates that 60,000 workers commute here
daily.
Other sources say 40,000.
Both numbers come from competing government methodologies.
League leaders insists their number is the reliable one, as stated in their own report. But like the NRA and other groups, the league's advocacy hat spins data beyond credibility.
Its report, "Dispelling the Myths Surrounding Affordable Housing," twists data to the point of creating, rather than dispelling, myths.
By example, the report claims a Washington, D.C. report found non-profit managed properties cause no increase in crime. But that report actually doesn't mention nonprofits; it only addresses big buildings vs. small buildings.
The league can spin it all it wants, but cannot reasonably say this is proof that affordable housing does not increase crime.
My point, however, is not crime, but reliability of league advocacy.
Among "myths" it claims to dispel is that affordable housing lowers property values. The league cites yet another report. Problem again: The cited report expanded the radius until home values flattened out. Specifically, 90 percent of houses surveyed were not even within a quarter-mile of the project.
Nor did that report break out the impacts on just the ground zero homeowners.
Making this property value survey even more irrelevant (if possible), it covered home sales only between 1987 and 1992. Homeowner data was so old that Ronald Reagan was president and few people had heard of something called e-mail.
The league's report that fails to disclose "myths" was largely authored by the chairperson of a $1 billion nonprofit housing company. That clear conflict of interest should have been disclosed in the report.
With "Myths" full of pratfalls, do we hear retractions? Apologies? No, perhaps like the NRA would do, the league doubles down, claiming its report is golden and that 60,000 workers really commute into Marin daily.
I tend to doubt it.
The Longitudinal Employment and Housing Dynamics numbers the league relies heavily on unemployment benefits claims. That is data of employees who lost their jobs, rather than present commuters. By implication, it overlooks the self-employed, contract employees and those who don't change jobs.
Even if 60,000 workers commute into Marin, a philosophy of "Build, Baby, Build" will not work here. We have only 100,000 residences and little water. To house even half these claimed commuters, 20,000 to 30,000 more homes need to be built in Marin.
Not going to happen.
To distract us, housing advocates say building will be much smaller.
Well here is the news: On a smaller scale, you don't fix the problem you claim exists.
The recent Larkspur plan was 920 units. If 20 percent were affordable and commuters had moved in those units, that gargantuan project would have fixed a tiny 0.3 percent of the problem.
Symbolic gestures solve nothing but guilt.
There are people who will commute for the right opportunity. Move them to San Rafael or Larkspur, they may take San Francisco jobs now that they live closer. Legally, we can't force them to work here.
Further, when someone commutes to Marin, it is because equivalent employment is unavailable near their home.
If we move them into Marin, their old homes get new residents. Why would those new residents not also take jobs in Marin for the very same reasons?
Meet the new commuter, same as the old commuter.
Randy Warren is a San Rafael lawyer who has been involved in the debate over local housing plans. He ran for San Rafael City Council in 2013.
Other sources say 40,000.
Both numbers come from competing government methodologies.
League leaders insists their number is the reliable one, as stated in their own report. But like the NRA and other groups, the league's advocacy hat spins data beyond credibility.
Its report, "Dispelling the Myths Surrounding Affordable Housing," twists data to the point of creating, rather than dispelling, myths.
By example, the report claims a Washington, D.C. report found non-profit managed properties cause no increase in crime. But that report actually doesn't mention nonprofits; it only addresses big buildings vs. small buildings.
The league can spin it all it wants, but cannot reasonably say this is proof that affordable housing does not increase crime.
My point, however, is not crime, but reliability of league advocacy.
Among "myths" it claims to dispel is that affordable housing lowers property values. The league cites yet another report. Problem again: The cited report expanded the radius until home values flattened out. Specifically, 90 percent of houses surveyed were not even within a quarter-mile of the project.
Nor did that report break out the impacts on just the ground zero homeowners.
Making this property value survey even more irrelevant (if possible), it covered home sales only between 1987 and 1992. Homeowner data was so old that Ronald Reagan was president and few people had heard of something called e-mail.
The league's report that fails to disclose "myths" was largely authored by the chairperson of a $1 billion nonprofit housing company. That clear conflict of interest should have been disclosed in the report.
With "Myths" full of pratfalls, do we hear retractions? Apologies? No, perhaps like the NRA would do, the league doubles down, claiming its report is golden and that 60,000 workers really commute into Marin daily.
I tend to doubt it.
The Longitudinal Employment and Housing Dynamics numbers the league relies heavily on unemployment benefits claims. That is data of employees who lost their jobs, rather than present commuters. By implication, it overlooks the self-employed, contract employees and those who don't change jobs.
Even if 60,000 workers commute into Marin, a philosophy of "Build, Baby, Build" will not work here. We have only 100,000 residences and little water. To house even half these claimed commuters, 20,000 to 30,000 more homes need to be built in Marin.
Not going to happen.
To distract us, housing advocates say building will be much smaller.
Well here is the news: On a smaller scale, you don't fix the problem you claim exists.
The recent Larkspur plan was 920 units. If 20 percent were affordable and commuters had moved in those units, that gargantuan project would have fixed a tiny 0.3 percent of the problem.
Symbolic gestures solve nothing but guilt.
There are people who will commute for the right opportunity. Move them to San Rafael or Larkspur, they may take San Francisco jobs now that they live closer. Legally, we can't force them to work here.
Further, when someone commutes to Marin, it is because equivalent employment is unavailable near their home.
If we move them into Marin, their old homes get new residents. Why would those new residents not also take jobs in Marin for the very same reasons?
Meet the new commuter, same as the old commuter.
Randy Warren is a San Rafael lawyer who has been involved in the debate over local housing plans. He ran for San Rafael City Council in 2013.
Richard Hall objects to Supervisor's use of misleading Statistics, Distortions and Lack of Civic Engagement with the Voters.
Supervisors,
I wanted to follow up my comments from this morning with some
factual references, and comments I did not have time to cover.
SPENDING MONEY TO SHIFT
DRIVERS TO CYCLING DURING COMMUTE
We need an honest
conversation about transportation. Supervisor Adams spoke today of bike paths
as reducing commute traffic, together this and the argument of reducing
greenhouse gases is also frequently used to justify spending millions, but the
facts do not support these arguments.
The NTPP Congressional
Report appendix notes that $28m was spent on Marin's bike paths, but the bike
counts clearly show usage is not just in the weeds (tiny compared to freeway
counts of 15,000 cars per hour with 1.67 occupants per vehicle)
Look at table 2 in this
US Census data specific to Marin commuting, this clarifies that there has not
been any "significant change" in terms of switching from car to bike
commuting:
The walk-bike Marin
counts show tiny figures, see the weekday bike counts on page 23:
It is important that
while you are frequently engaged by the bicycle coalition, who are well funded
with professional paid attendees who meet with you and speak at events, that
you maintain balance by understanding the facts and the needs of people. Many
(most) of those people simply cannot reasonably switch their commute from cars
to bikes for practical reasons (distance, traveling with kids, physical health,
available time...)
SUPERVISOR KINSEY
Please engage with us
more. While you have especially strong influence as an MTC Commissioner, you
are not being observed to engage as effectively as many would like. You are
seen to leave meetings immediately after they adjourn. You do not respond to
emails or invitations to meet. At a town hall meeting last year where many
shared concerns you supported a vocal crowd outside who were accusing those
with valid concerns of being "racists". Many are starting to conclude
that your tactic to deal with any opposing your views is to antagonize - if so
I would ask that you reconsider the effectiveness of such an approach.
Please help support
preserving and improving the quality of life for those who use the Richmond San
Rafael Bridge everyday. While the accomplishment of completing a bike route may
appeal, it is far more important that you maintain perspective that adding a
third lane during commute will help save many combined lifetimes for drivers
both crossing the bridge, or simply affected by the 101 backups. Tens of
thousands cross that bridge each day or are affected indirectly by the backups,
each could save minutes each day with appropriate traffic alleviation. By
comparison during commute one might at best see perhaps 0.1% of that volume
commute across the bridge by bike.
When I say
"we", I refer to others like myself who seek an honest dialog to
preserve the quality of life in Marin, to base this on facts, and the
representation of residents. I believe the election has helped make it clear
just how many are concerned by quality of life issues that are exacerbated
through a policy of "high density, transit oriented development".
SUPERVISOR ARNOLD
We both found the letter
by Dr Robert Frankel objectionable that you read out at a prior supervisors
meeting. You used this objectionable letter (a nice "straw man" that
made it easy to shoot down and suggest opponents are unreasonable) and then
spoke of "tea party and extremist infiltration". Please can you help
restore engagement to the conversation - this speech did not help.
Reasonable people, many
like myself who are registered Democrats, were just a little shocked by your
speech. We don't want to be - we want a supervisor who does not seek to
polarize issues - that can potentially log-jam engagement, allowing railroading
through of a desired agenda.
SUPERVISOR RICE
Thank you for
representing residents concerns to the town council of Larkspur regarding the
Larkspur Station Area Plan. We encourage this and further engagement.
COMMENTS AT TAM MEETING
REGARDING COUNCILLOR EKLUND OF NOVATO
I am concerned by some
of the negative comments made regarding councillor Eklund's attempts to engage
on the matter of Plan Bay Area at a recent TAM meeting with Steve Kinsey and
Dan Hillmer present. Pat Eklund is to be applauded and upheld as an example.
She is making genuine efforts to engage in dialog about this Plan and its
successor with a large number of people who hold concerns. She is listening,
and genuinely seeking out the facts in a fair and balanced manner.
The comments at these
meetings served to dismiss and characterize her actions as negative when they
should instead be embraced by Marin's elected representatives as a model for
better engagement.
PEOPLE SUPPORT
AFFORDABLE HOUSING
Finally please let go of
the disingenuous straw man that Marinites oppose affordable housing. The vast
majority have these concerns:
- we want to preserve
quality of life, this should be a top priority in planning (but is either
diminished or missing)
- we want to understand
genuine impact on traffic, parking, schools and especially the environment
- we don't want
buildings that are out of character to our beautiful county (aesthetically, out
of scale, too high...)
- we recognize that
highway 101 is a vital resource that could easily be pushed beyond capacity;
Sonoma County has PDAs with 24,010 housing units planned; this will clearly
have significant impact on 101. We cannot presume that the new residents will
take SMART or burden those with no alternative but to use 101 by turning it
into a parking lot by adding too many housing units.
We can embrace the
continued slow growth of our county with new buildings that are in character,
that ensure 20% of new units are affordable, that do not concentrate undue
burdens on specific neighborhoods, that reuse or convert existing buildings
and/or by encouraging second units.
Thank you for listening.
I do sincerely hope that engagement can be improved for the benefit of all
residents of Marin including our elected representatives,
Richard Hall
San Rafael
Wednesday, July 23, 2014
A Separate Entrance for Poor People ... Coming soon to a luxury development near you.
NYC Approves Apartment Building With Separate Entrance for Poor People
EXPAND
It would be difficult to come with a more on-the-nose metaphor for New York City's income inequality problem than the new high-rise apartment building coming to 40 Riverside Boulevard, which will feature separate doors for regular, wealthy humans and whatever you call the scum that rents affordable housing.
Extell Development Company, the firm behind the new building, announced its intentions to segregate the rich and poor to much outrage last year. Fifty-five of the luxury complex's 219 units would be marked for low-income renters—netting some valuable tax breaks for Extell—with the caveat that the less fortunate tenants would stick to their own entrance.
The city's Department of Housing Preservation and Development approved Extell's Inclusionary Housing Program application for the 33-story tower this week, the New York Post reports. The status grants Extell the aforementioned tax breaks and the right to construct a larger building than would ordinarily be allowed. According to the Daily Mail, affordable housing tenants will enter through a door situated on a "back alley."
Any of the unwashed folk who complain about such a convenient arrangement, of course, are just being ungrateful. As the Mail points out, fellow poor-door developer David Von Spreckelsenexplained as much last year:
"No one ever said that the goal was full integration of these populations," said David Von Spreckelsen, senior vice president at Toll Brothers. "So now you have politicians talking about that, saying how horrible those back doors are. I think it's unfair to expect very high-income homeowners who paid a fortune to live in their building to have to be in the same boat as low-income renters, who are very fortunate to live in a new building in a great neighborhood."
In these economically fraught times, it's easy to forget that the super rich earned their right to never see you, hear you, smell you, or consider your pitiful existence. Expecting them to share an entrance would be unfair.
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