A blog about Marinwood-Lucas Valley and the Marin Housing Element, politics, economics and social policy. The MOST DANGEROUS BLOG in Marinwood-Lucas Valley.
Saturday, September 13, 2014
The Future of Water in Marin: Crosse vs. Bragman Debate Sep 11, 2014
Quick takeaways on some key differences:
DESALINATION - Crosse says "never say never". Bragman says never.
ROUND-UP/herbicides - Crosse says they are still studying if it's safe. Bragman says that "if they don't know it's safe after studying it for 10 years, then it's not safe." He wants to ban all herbicides & not let RoundUp get into our drinking water.
FLOURIDE - Bragman is against it. He feels that the MMWD is citing a changed law to use it, and they should remove it. Crosse doesn't like it either, but she says it's the law & she will follow them.
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT - Bragman says the MMWD needs to take a stronger leadership role in dealing with the growth policies of the Supervisors, and not waste money on a pipeline across the Richmond Bridge to questionable water sources. Crosse says that her job as Supervisor Steve Kinsey's aide does not affect her role as a MMWD board member, Crosse said that she would vote for a building moratorium if we ever got into a serious water emergency (but she thinks we're far from that point). She is in favor of spending $300,000 to study building a Richmond Bridge pipeline to explore all of our options.
SONOMA WATER DEPENDENCY - Bragman says that we shouldn't take it for granted, since we get 25% of our water from them. Sonoma is having a water crisis, yet they plan to grow considerably in the near future. Crosse thinks Sonoma water won't be a problem, as they are under a legal contract to provide it to us.
EXPANDING CAPACITY - Bragman says we should be working to increase the capacity of our lakes now. That MMWD is only currently studying just Bon Tempe lake & should be doing all of them. Crosse said basically that Bon Tempe is sufficient, and it's a lot of work to dredge the lakes & get rid of the spoils.
BIOGRAPHIES: Liza Crosse is the appointed incumbent who works her day job as an aide for Supervisor Steve Kinsey. Larry Bragman is on the Fairfax town council, on which he has served for 11 years & is a lawyer in private practice.
Spotswood: Water board race could be county's hottest contest
http://www.marinij.com/opinion/ci_26454765/spotswood-water-board-race-could-be-countys-hottest
There's a wide-open contest for one seat on the five-member Marin Municipal Water District board. In Ross Valley's 3rd Division, appointed incumbent Liza Crosse of Woodacre is opposed by Fairfax Vice Mayor Larry Bragman.
Given the limited number of contested elections on November's ballot, what's normally a low-profile contest for the $175-per-meeting post will be one of Marin's marquee races.
Crosse's full-time job is as Supervisor Steve Kinsey's administrative aide. Bragman is a civil and criminal defense attorney.
Typical in evergreen Marin, both candidates boast serious environmental credentials.
While it's a nonpartisan election, California's Green Party website is touting Bragman.
Longtime Democrat Crosse also will seek her party's support. That effort should be aided by Crosse's campaign manager, Paul Cohen, Marin Democratic Party chairman.
The MMWD manages seven reservoirs that supply 75 percent of Central and Southern Marin's water needs. A pipeline from Sonoma provides the balance.
Water scarcity is a continuing factor in Marin's intense debate over growth and regional alphabet agencies' demand for more housing.
The district's customers face a conundrum. MMWD has successfully pursued water conservation, yet per-gallon rates haven't declined — they've gone up. The reality is that the district's fixed costs don't decrease when water usage drops.
MMWD manages 21,500 acres of pristine watershed, guaranteeing top-quality drinking water while providing fire flow for Marin fire hydrants. Its spectacular acreage is a recreational amenity prized by hikers and bikers — who are frequently at each other's throats — and environmentalists determined to protect is biodiversity.
The latter's goal can conflict with one of the water district's most daunting responsibilities, making certain that the tinder-dry watershed isn't the origin of a potentially fatal wildland fire.
The dilemma is that 50,000 Marinites who live in the urban-wildland interface demand prompt cost-effective action.
That imperative comes up against green activists passionately opposed to using pesticides or controlled burns to eradicate the invasive species plague. Their preferred alternative, hiring workers to remove accumulated brush by hand, is fabulously expensive.
It's a classic Marin conflict and will be a subtest to much rhetoric surrounding the Crosse-Bragman campaigns.
Spotswood: Water board race could be county's hottest contest
Marin Independent Journal
Posted: 09/02/2014 05:12:51 PM PDT4 Comments
Given the limited number of contested elections on November's ballot, what's normally a low-profile contest for the $175-per-meeting post will be one of Marin's marquee races.
Crosse's full-time job is as Supervisor Steve Kinsey's administrative aide. Bragman is a civil and criminal defense attorney.
Typical in evergreen Marin, both candidates boast serious environmental credentials.
While it's a nonpartisan election, California's Green Party website is touting Bragman.
Longtime Democrat Crosse also will seek her party's support. That effort should be aided by Crosse's campaign manager, Paul Cohen, Marin Democratic Party chairman.
The MMWD manages seven reservoirs that supply 75 percent of Central and Southern Marin's water needs. A pipeline from Sonoma provides the balance.
Water scarcity is a continuing factor in Marin's intense debate over growth and regional alphabet agencies' demand for more housing.
The district's customers face a conundrum. MMWD has successfully pursued water conservation, yet per-gallon rates haven't declined — they've gone up. The reality is that the district's fixed costs don't decrease when water usage drops.
MMWD manages 21,500 acres of pristine watershed, guaranteeing top-quality drinking water while providing fire flow for Marin fire hydrants. Its spectacular acreage is a recreational amenity prized by hikers and bikers — who are frequently at each other's throats — and environmentalists determined to protect is biodiversity.
The latter's goal can conflict with one of the water district's most daunting responsibilities, making certain that the tinder-dry watershed isn't the origin of a potentially fatal wildland fire.
The dilemma is that 50,000 Marinites who live in the urban-wildland interface demand prompt cost-effective action.
That imperative comes up against green activists passionately opposed to using pesticides or controlled burns to eradicate the invasive species plague. Their preferred alternative, hiring workers to remove accumulated brush by hand, is fabulously expensive.
It's a classic Marin conflict and will be a subtest to much rhetoric surrounding the Crosse-Bragman campaigns.
Friday, September 12, 2014
Friday Night Music: Country Joe McDonald -Thinking of Woody Guthrie
The first song "Green Pastures of Plenty" was running through my head as I drove up from Los Angeles this week. The parched dirt was swept up into dust devils everywhere. The people of the central valley are really suffering because of the water policy that denies farms irrigation water. It is always the worker and small farmer that suffer the most.
The “Sinister Marin” Housing Survey in Marin
The “Sinister Marin” Housing Survey
Over the last week residents across the county experienced the “sinister Marin” telephone housing survey asking questions that might as well have been “are you a racist?” to find out which angle of attack would be the most effective to push through high density housing across our county.
The survey’s backer was not disclosed, but the exercise clearly involved big money. My contact at CALM - a loose coalition that has been pushing for high density development in Marin – denied it was their doing. Those with market research insight told me that a simple 300-400 respondent telephone survey costs in the realm of $25,000+.
What was most puzzling is the number of friends who have been active in the high density housing discussion who were contacted. There are 100,000 households in Marin. The likelihood of being one of the (say) 400 respondents should be 0.4%. However a survey of 50 friends across Marin involved in high density housing revealed that over 6 had taken the survey – that’s 12%. Others thoughts on the matter are:
Such sound bite stats could easily then be “weaponized” into press releases and used to disarm opposition to high density housing – only thanks to this survey they won’t say high density housing. Instead the survey will have armed its ‘ commissioners with the precise replacement term designed to garner the most support.
This can then be used to present that this is a major reason for the opposition to high density housing - so therefore we should go ahead and build.
Marin Community Foundation are on record as having a $10m fund pushing over 5 years to increase affordable housing. Although the page has disappeared from their site they also had a $2m fund specifically aimed to lobby local elected officials to allow more zoning of affordable housing.
The second contender is Hanson Bridgett, a Marin legal firm that represents a number of housing developers and has a dedicated land use team. Hanson Bridgett was one of Supervisor Kinsey’s biggest donors (Marin IJ article here). As many by now know Kinsey is highly influential and has been driving pro high density housing policies at the county. Not only did former Supervisor Gary Giacomini of Hanson Bridgett donate $7,500 to Kinsey’s campaign, so did multiple other attorneys from Hanson Bridgett.
I’ve also just learned that Hanson Bridgett were one of Supervisor Judy Arnold’s biggest donors. Arnold also has pushed a high density agenda. It must also be noted that supervisor elect Damon Connolly, who I have come to trust and replaced Susan Adams also received donations from Hanson Bridgett.
An unidentified Housing Advocacy organization is conducting targeted surveys in Marin to assist them in selling the urbanization of Marin. We will not be fooled. We will Save Marin Again! |
Over the last week residents across the county experienced the “sinister Marin” telephone housing survey asking questions that might as well have been “are you a racist?” to find out which angle of attack would be the most effective to push through high density housing across our county.
The survey’s backer was not disclosed, but the exercise clearly involved big money. My contact at CALM - a loose coalition that has been pushing for high density development in Marin – denied it was their doing. Those with market research insight told me that a simple 300-400 respondent telephone survey costs in the realm of $25,000+.
What was most puzzling is the number of friends who have been active in the high density housing discussion who were contacted. There are 100,000 households in Marin. The likelihood of being one of the (say) 400 respondents should be 0.4%. However a survey of 50 friends across Marin involved in high density housing revealed that over 6 had taken the survey – that’s 12%. Others thoughts on the matter are:
- Coincidence: after a highly active email thread we were all primed the survey was happening so we grabbed the phone quickly. (This is my belief, I’m not convinced of any conspiracy)
- Pre-Targeted Respondents:The organization conducting the survey pre-seeded respondents with those they identified as involved in the high density housing wars. They wanted to build a profile and understanding of their opponents that they could use later. (This was the belief of others, they pointed to the 12% sample when statistics suggest that of our group of 50 only one of us should have been called)
- A very large sample size: Perhaps the survey sought 2,000 or more respondents. This would suggest a backer with very deep pockets. If the ballpark cost was about $25,000 for a 400 respondent survey then clearly the price for 2,000 respondents would be much more significant.
The “Are You a Marin Racist?” Fishing Expedition
Survey questions were rotated, likely at random, but some surveys add logic so that depending on how you answer prior questions different questions are asked later. I was not asked these questions – but I have had reports that the following questions were asked (note that these are not verbatim):- If someone moved into the house next to you that was different to you would this be positive or negative, rate on a scale of 1 to 5
- Do you prefer to live in a neighborhood where everyone is the same as you?
Such sound bite stats could easily then be “weaponized” into press releases and used to disarm opposition to high density housing – only thanks to this survey they won’t say high density housing. Instead the survey will have armed its ‘ commissioners with the precise replacement term designed to garner the most support.
This can then be used to present that this is a major reason for the opposition to high density housing - so therefore we should go ahead and build.
Which Development Related Issues Resonate?
Respondents are asked which of the following they are concerned about:- The high cost of housing
- Difficulty finding affordable housing
- The sense of community in your neighborhood
- Provision of housing for the average worker
- Is it possible for someone in the Bay Area to work their way out of poverty
- Is it possible for anyone in the Bay Area to find a job
Which Angles Are the Most Persuasive?
Respondents are asked their degree of agreement with the following angles that supporters of affordable housing have used- Increasing the supply of housing will allow people to live nearer to where they work reducing traffic congestion (any reader of this peer reviewed UC Berkeley paper Is the Jobs Housing Balance a Transportation Issue? by Genevieve Guiliano will know this claim is utter nonsense).
- Increasing the supply of housing will make housing more affordable in Marin. (Ignoring the absence of evidence to substantiate that such ocean-boiling policies have ever achieved this elsewhere. Marin is a very attractive place to live next to one of the cities in the US with the highest wages and many jobs. Housing prices will always be high in such a location).
- It will change for the worse the character of our community (note, I always qualify this as architectural character. High density supporters are going for the “trap” that if you oppose change to community character that this is dogwhistle racism – of course they are judge and jury on deciding when this line has been crossed).
- It will lead to crime (I am inconclusive on this. A lot depends on the effort and responsibility of the management company. Singapore is very high density but has very low crime – however harsh sentencing laws are likely a factor).
Which Organizations Could Push Pro Housing Message the Most Effectively?
Respondents are asked which individuals or organizations they find believable. The list offered is a blend of the typical pro-high density mouthpiece organizations together with others likely thrown in for calibration or to ascertain the best media channels to focus on. Respondents are asked to score the following;- The League of Women Voters – while ostensibly claiming neutrality the League is now widely viewed by many as a partisan lobbying group. Its Transportation and Land Use Committee is controlled by Judy Binsacca, chair of the multi-million dollar EAH Housing non-profit. Mary Murtagh, the CEO of EAH Housing has also been highly involved with the League of Women Voters. If you think non-profit housing means these companies are altruistic then check out the bottom of this discussion which lays out the stratospheric salaries of the people involved. The discussion highlights that Mary Murtagh earned in excess of $264,000 back in 2011. It’s big money!
- Sustainable Marin – this has become a very strong mouthpiece for the high density message. Sustainable Marin leader Kiki Laporte joined Susan Adams as an aide just prior to her failed re-election run. Here’s a video of Kiki Laporte in action at a press conference where special interests groups demanded that Governor Brown declare a state of emergency because Marinites were racist (Randy Warren of San Rafael penned an excellent op ed that disseminated this ludicrous stunt that completely backfired) . Laporte’s Sustainable San Rafael organization frequently makes outlandish claims about how high density housing and transit oriented development will lead to reduced emissions, so we must allow this housing to be built (or we will accelerate climate change). I’ve published many retorts to these claims here on Planning for Reality.
- Labor Unions – I remain positive on many unions, especially private unions, but I’m aware some (by no means all) public unions are politically active see high density as an opportunity to swell their ranks, membership dues and power.
- Teachers
- Marin Conservation League
- The local chamber of commerce
- Church groups
- The Sierra Club – a group that has come out on both sides of the high density housing debate.
- Homeowner Associations - clearly focus can be placed on these organizations to push through information. I suspect most people do trust their HOA, but these organizations are not so susceptible to manipulation.
Party Affiliations Thoroughly Probed
Respondents are thoroughly probed on their politics:- Are you a registered Democrat or Republican
- If so are you “strong” with the party or not?
- Are you politically liberal, moderate or conservative
Which Term Resonates the Best?
Respondents were asked to score the following words from positive (5) to negative (1):- Affordable Housing
- Workforce Housing
- Community Housing
- Low Income Housing
The Mysterious Survey Backer
Nobody yet knows who commissioned the suryey, however the number of people called indicate that the survey has big money – likely $25k behind it. Then there must be more money to act on the answers. My best guess is the billion dollar Marin Community Foundation. They frequently conduct phone surveys – I recently responded to one on their age research – so this is their modus operandi.Marin Community Foundation are on record as having a $10m fund pushing over 5 years to increase affordable housing. Although the page has disappeared from their site they also had a $2m fund specifically aimed to lobby local elected officials to allow more zoning of affordable housing.
The second contender is Hanson Bridgett, a Marin legal firm that represents a number of housing developers and has a dedicated land use team. Hanson Bridgett was one of Supervisor Kinsey’s biggest donors (Marin IJ article here). As many by now know Kinsey is highly influential and has been driving pro high density housing policies at the county. Not only did former Supervisor Gary Giacomini of Hanson Bridgett donate $7,500 to Kinsey’s campaign, so did multiple other attorneys from Hanson Bridgett.
I’ve also just learned that Hanson Bridgett were one of Supervisor Judy Arnold’s biggest donors. Arnold also has pushed a high density agenda. It must also be noted that supervisor elect Damon Connolly, who I have come to trust and replaced Susan Adams also received donations from Hanson Bridgett.
Excerpt from Hanson Bridgett website:As many may know Supervisor Giacomini is by now (in)famous for his outburst at the April 1st Board of Supervisor meeting where he made this statement (watch the video):
Hanson Bridgett’s land use attorneys have extensive experience representing clients in all phases of the California land use approval process. We represent developers, property owners, investors, financial institutions, private citizens, and governmental entities across the entire gamut of all aspects of land use regulation in California.
Through many years of experience, our attorneys have developed close working relationships with agency staff and public officials across the Bay Area and the expertise to forge valuable partnerships in new cities. Our firm’s extensive experience representing government agencies gives us a unique perspective on the practical and political workings of government. These relationships allow us to take our knowledge of our clients’ business objectives and the policy goals of the government agencies to create mutually beneficial solutions. The success of our land use attorneys is due to a keen awareness of ongoing development opportunities and political constraints, and the ability to create dialogue with community, environmental, and government leaders to identify and address key community issues.
“Morning supervisors, I’m Gary Giacomini and I, as you know, I sat in you seat for some 24 years, and I want to say that I have never seen such a mean-spirited electorate out there, what appears to be, and I wanted to say that it’s like a combination of the flat-earth society, the know nothing party and the pitchfork gang and they’re assaulting you on all kinds of fronts.Is any of this activity illegal? Likely not. However it is more a matter for residents to be aware of a survey that is open to manipulation. A survey with big money behind it, and a lack of transparency into its’ motivations or likely future uses. A survey that delivers an incisive tool to a lobby trying to push through specific commercial goals. The author expects to see the results fashioned into some headline grabbing press release. You’ll know it when you see it – it will be the one that tries to label opposition to high density housing as immoral. It will surely distort the conversation – and jeopardize our beautiful county for commercial interests.
…another thing about your enemies they don’t, they ask questions but they don’t care what the answers are because they have a vicious agenda which is anti, anti-government, tea party-ist kind of mentality
comment here: The “Sinister Marin” Housing Survey
Thursday, September 11, 2014
THE GRAPES OF WRATH II- How a Man-Made Dust Bowl Came to California
Widespread hardship is being felt in the Central Valley among the common folk like these people in the Great Depression. |
THE GRAPES OF WRATH II
How a
Man-Made Dust Bowl Came to California
By Phaedra Glidden
When I first heard what the topic of this issue of the
North Bay Independent was going to be, I jumped at the chance to write about
what I feel is one of the most devastating issues occurring in our great State
of California: The Delta Smelt Issue. If
you’ve lived in California for any length of time, then you know that this is
an issue which rises up on a regular basis, year after year. We all know of the battles now taking place
between the Fish and the Farmers in the San Joaquin Valley. However, even being a California girl born
and bred, I found out when researching this article that I didn’t know half as
much as I thought I did on the subject.
When I was a student we were required to read the book
by John Steinbeck called “The Grapes of Wrath”, which was about the dust bowls
in the 1930’s which caused literally millions of acres of farmland to be
destroyed and forced hundreds of thousands of people to abandon Oklahoma and
move to California and elsewhere. In
reading that book, not only did we learn about the people living in that era;
mostly hardworking farmworkers, but we also learned of the historical basis for
the book, as well as the scientific causes of the dust bowl phenomenon. I hope to accomplish the same thing in this
article regarding the Delta Smelt issue.
Steinbecks’ book was very important to me because both of my
grandparents on my mother’s side were from Oklahoma and came to California in
the 1930’s. Their families were the
migrant farm workers that Steinbeck describes so well in his book. I clearly remember my grandmother telling me
about picking cotton in the fields as a young girl. When she was older, she met my grandfather
picking peaches in the Central Valley.
He went on to become a contractor and built many businesses and homes in
Yuba City near Sacramento. I feel it is
important to shed more light on this subject because real people are affected
by what we decide to do in the future.
These people are hardworking individuals who are losing their livelihood,
and in some cases their homes and land, but most important of all for farmers;
their dignity.
I witnessed many small dust devils like the one in this picture on my drive through the central valley on September 8, 2014 |
What is the Delta Smelt?
The Delta smelt are a small three inch steel
blue fish that has a life-span of approximately one year. They are found only in the San Francisco
Bay/Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. They
mostly live in the area where the fresh and salt water come together and they
eat insect larvae, micro-plankton, organisms including copepods, and small
crustaceans.
The History of the Delta Smelt
The Delta smelt were abundant in our
Delta until the mid 1970’s then, due to a decline in their numbers, they were
listed as a threatened species in 1993. Critical
habitat was listed for Delta smelt on December 19, 1994. Since their numbers continued to decline
further, they were listed as an endangered species in 2010. As per an article entitled “Delta Smelt: A
Little Fish with the Delta Blues” by the Center for the Aquatic Biology and
Aquaculture (CABA) out of UC Davis “The reason for the decline is not clearly
understood but coincides with increased water diversions to the southern half
of California for agriculture and domestic use.
Additionally, issues of pollution and problems associated with
introduced species in the Delta have been proposed as the reason for the
decline of Delta Smelt”. At the time of
their article (2011) there were several scientific research projects in the
works to monitor the smelt in order to determine the reason for their
decline. This included trying to tag and
track them, looking into the amount of hybridization between the smelt and
other smelts, hatchery techniques, and “looking at the potential role of
largemouth bass on the decline of the Delta smelt and other pelagic
species”. They are also looking at “the
effects of turbidity and salinity on successful feeding and
survival of larval (<30mm an="" class="highlightedsearchterm" span="">d30mm>
juvenile (30- 70 mm) Delta smelt. This
laboratory has also looked at the
sensitivity of Delta smelt to
ammonia.” Probably due to a waste water treatment plant releasing treated water
into the Delta. Unfortunately, this
website does not provide any follow up information on the results of these
studies, so I was unable to determine if they are complete or on-going. (
http://caba.ucdavis.edu/news/2011/delta-smelt).
The Present Situation
As per Wikipedia, “Efforts to protect
the endangered fish from further decline have focused on limiting or modifying
the large-scale pumping activities of state and federal water agencies”
On February 12, 2013, pumping restrictions went into
effect due to the number of fish killed this year already nearing the annual
limit set by the Endangered Species Act.
Apparently, the pumping stations have already killed 232 smelt in the
first month and a half of 2013, while rules set by the Endangered Species Act
only allows for a total of 305 deaths per year.
An article on KPBS.Org mentions that Mark Corwin with the Department (of
Water Resources) said that “the deaths illustrate a need for a new system, one
that would include $14 Billion twin tunnels.”
He is referring to the Bay Delta Conservation Plan
(BDCP). More on the BDCP below. (http://www.kpbs.org/news/2013/feb/12/delta-smelt-deaths-means-less-water-central-and-so/)
In an article entitled “Water Reliability Again
Threatened by Delta Smelt Issue”, dated February 12, 2013, Western Growers
President and CEO, Tom Nassif said “Endangered Species Act restrictions on water
deliveries were invalidated by a federal court two years ago. In light of that fact, a more moderate
approach should be employed while new rules are drafted. Yet in recent weeks, the federal fish
agencies have imposed the same draconian restrictions that were the centerpiece
of the rules invalidated by the court”.
(http://www.wga.com/blog/2013/02/12/water-reliability-again-threatened-delta-smelt-issue)
According to the Association of California Water
Agencies (ACWA) “Pumping restrictions aimed at protecting Delta smelt have
reduced deliveries to water agencies in the Central Valley, Southern California
and San Francisco Bay Area by more than 700,000 acre-feet since November 1, state
officials announced Feb. 13.” They quoted
Department of Water Resources Director, Mark Corwin as saying during a
conference call with reporters that water supplies lost as a result of the
restrictions would have been enough to meet the needs of ¼ million households
for a year or to irrigate 200,000 acres of farmland. (http://www.acwa.com/news/delta/water-supplies-curtailed-once-again-protect-delta-smelt)
The Economic Impact
California is known as the “Salad Bowl
of America”. We are the top producers of
a wide variety fruits, nuts, and vegetables, second only to Florida (oranges)
and Texas (cattle and cotton). As per
Wikipedia, our total GDP is $1.96 Trillion, which is 13% of the U.S. GDP. They also said we have the 3rd
highest unemployment in the Nation, 9.8% as of November, 2012. The Bureau of Labor Statistics put out a
release dated February 13, 2013 for the December 2012 period that shows that
the current unemployment rate in the San Joaquin valley run from a low at 13.5%
(Kern County) to a high at 17.2% (Merced County). San Joaquin County falls in the mid-range at
14.5%. The average for all eight
Counties in the San Joaquin Valley is an average of 14.89%. These areas have unemployment rates that are
more than twice the national average of 7.6%.
In February of last year the City of Mendota reached a high of 40%
unemployed. Certainly, not all of these
jobs were in agriculture, or related industries, but one would think that this
would be an important factor when considering the water issue. (http://www.netstate.com/economy/ca_economy.htm) (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_of_california#Economy) (http://www.bls.gov/ro9/lausjoaq.htm) & (http://reason.com/blog/2012/02/29/delta-smelt-v-central-valley-farmers-the)
A fact sheet released by the California Farm Water
Coalition said “Water supply cuts in just two months sent 727,863 acre-feet –
237 billion gallons – of water to the ocean”, which would be enough water
sufficient to feed 726,000 people for a year, provide 12,386 farm jobs, and
$873 million value of crops that could have been grown. They estimate the total economic impact from
farm production at $2.2 Billion. (http://farmwater.org/watersupplycutshurtusall.pdf)
The Politics
In August 2009, 50 mayors from the San
Joaquin Valley signed a letter asking President Obama to observe the impact of
the draconian water rules firsthand.
Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger said at the time that he “doesn’t have
the authority to turn on the pumps” that would supply the Delta with waters or
“otherwise, they would be on.” He did
have the ability to request intervention from the Department of Interior, under
a provision added to the Endangered Species Act in 1978. However, Mr. Schwarzenegger has refused that
remedy. (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204731804574384731898375624.html)
Rep. Tom McClintock, R-El Dorado Hills, was formerly a
22 year California state legislator, and is now is a member of Congress. He has been very outspoken over the years
regarding this issue. McClintock has
been quoted saying that “in many communities, hundreds of thousands of acres of
fertile farmland were fallowed. During
2009 and 2010, the Obama Administration and the Democratic Congress stood by
and did nothing while farmers in the Central Valley were deprived of water and
left without any work.” In February
2012, the House passed a comprehensive solution in a bill, H.R. 1837, the
Sacramento-San Joaquin Valley Water Reliability Act, with a bipartisan vote of
246-175, to restore the Central Valley water.
Unfortunately, the measure died in the Senate. On January 26, 2010, Congressman McClintock
spoke to the House about the dire situation in the Central Valley. During this speech he said that while the
Ob
ama Administration is aware of the effects and has the power, Interior
Secretary Salazar admitted that the Obama Administration has the authority to
turn the pumps back on but it chooses not to because doing so would be like
“admitting failure.” The Examiner
article referenced here has links to the Youtube video of the speech in which
he says this. In March of 2012,
McClintock gave a speech in which he drew attention to the “spectacle of
unemployed farm workers standing in food lines to receive carrots imported from
China – in a region that just a short time before had produced much of American
grown fruits and vegetables”. (http://www.calwatchdog.com/2012/09/25/mcclintock-the-adult-in-the-room/), (http://www.mtdemocrat.com/news/mcclintock-speech-explains-water-vote/) & (http://www.examiner.com/article/california-water-vs-the-delta-smelt)
The little Delta Smelt is the cause for environmental concern. |
On July 25, 2012, Governor Jerry Brown and U.S.
Interior Secretary, Ken Salazar, formally announced the Bay Delta Conservation
Plan during a press conference at the California Natural Resources Agency
building in Sacramento. Over 300 people,
including American Indians, environmentalists, family farmers, and fisherman
showed up in protest. Ken Salazar was
quoted as saying “As broken and outdated as California’s water system is, we
are also closer than ever to forging a lasting and sustainable solution that
strengthens California’s water security and restores the health of the Delta”. He also said “With science as our guide, we
are taking a comprehensive approach to tackling California’s water problems
when it comes to increasing efficiency and improving conservation.” It was also reported that Brown shocked the
press corp by saying “I want to get s**t done” when defensively responding to
press questions. The previous day, on
July 24, 2012, the Sacramento County Board of Supervisors had unanimously
adopted a resolution opposing the currently proposed draft of BDCP. I was hard-pressed to find many supporters of
this plan. (http://redgreenandblue.org/2012/07/27/opposition-grows-as-jerry-brown-announces-plan-for-water-stealing-tunnel/), (http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/26/us/a-new-plan-to-fix-california-water-system.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0&)(http://www.indybay.org/newsitems/2012/08/29/18720532.php)
On October 24, 2012, Congressman John
Garamendi, D-Fairfield, held a press conference urging more federal support for
levees in rural parts of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta and calling for a
statewide cost-benefit analysis of the controversial BDCP. Garamendi is the author of H.R. 6484, the
SAFE Levee Act. According to the Delta
Counties Coalition, “the SAFE Levee Act seeks to address two vitally important
concerns for our region: the need for additional federal assistance to help
maintain and strengthen levees for both water quality purposes and the
protection of the Delta agricultural economy, and the need for a full and
thorough benefit-cost analysis of all alternatives under consideration through
the Bay Delta Conservation Plan process, including at least one option that
does not require the construction of one or more water conveyance tunnels. Such a comprehensive analysis is vitally
important to enable a fair comparison between non-structural and structural
alternatives for achieving the co-equal goals of improving water supply
reliability and protecting and restoring the health of the Delta estuary and
wetland ecosystem”. (http://www.californiaprogressreport.com/site/delta-leaders-line-opposition-water-tunnels-plan)
The Bay Delta Conservation Plan
The Bay Delta
Conservation Plan (BDCP) is a 50 year plan to conserve habitat for endangered
and threatened species, while continuing to divert water to agriculture and
domestic water users in central and southern California. It includes employing two tunnels to
transport water under the Delta in an effort to guarantee a stable water supply
for Californians and contribute to the protection and recovery of the Delta
ecosystem and at-risk species.
As per the California Watch blog on February 27, 2013, the total
projected cost for this plan is $39 billion ($14 billion for tunnels, $11.1
billion for the proposed water bond, $10 billion for Delta habitat re-creation,
and $4 billion for Delta levee repairs.)
The BDCP also proposes to create at least 100,000 acres of wildlife
habitat, including tidal marsh and inundated floodplain. Test drilling for the tunnels is set to begin
this spring, however legal efforts by landowners may delay this. (https://www.indybay.org/newsitems/2013/02/12/18731861.php),
(http://www.calwatchdog.com/2013/02/27/both-sides-in-water-war-need-smelt-to-provoke-compromise/)
& (http://www.recordnet.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20121030/A_NEWS/210300322)
In
addition to the Bay Delta Conservation Plan, there is a Delta Wetlands Project
which would “flood Bacon Island and Webb Tract while converting two more
islands into wildlife habitat.” Farmers
have “long opposed this plan because approximately 11,000 acres of farmland
would be intentionally flooded”. This
project was defeated by opponents once in 2004, but their latest lawsuit
challenging a new environmental impact report was rejected by San Francisco
Superior Court Judge Teri L. Jackson. (http://www.recordnet.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20121206/A_NEWS/212060321)
When
I was trying to track down information regarding the authors of this plan, I
found an eye-opening article called “Defense/intelligence contractor is no longer
lead consultant on Delta Tunnel Plan”, by Dan Bacher, dated January 20,
2013. It this article, Bacher explains
that a company called Science Applications International Corporations (SAIC)
had been the primary contractor on this project until recently. He said that “few people are aware that the
Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC), a notorious defense and
intelligence agency contractor that recently had to pay $500 million in a fraud
settlement to New York City, currently bills itself on its website as the lead
consulting company for the BDCP.” According
to Bacher, SAIC’s role had been central to the development of the BDCP; they
managed a team of more than two dozen subcontractors and had been responsible
for the preparation of all aspects of the BDCP document. Bacher also said that the principal agencies
SAIC contracts with are the National Security Agency (NSA), Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA), Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), National
Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA), Office of the Director of National
Intelligence (ODNI), National Reconnaissance Office (NRO), and Department of
Defense (DOD). As per the article
“Together with Booz Allen Hamilton, San Diego-based SAIC stands like a private
colossus across the whole intelligence industry,” reported author researcher
Tim Shorrock. “Of SAIC’s 42,000
employees, more than 20,000 hold U.S. government security clearances, making
it, with Lockheed Martin, one of the largest private intelligence services in the
world”. The article states that SAIC is
among the top five contractors for the CIA.
It also credits this company with managing on of the NSA’s largest
efforts in years, the $3 billion Project Trailblazer, which attempted (and
failed) to create actionable intelligence from the cacophony of telephone
calls, fax messages, and emails that the NSA picks up every day. Launched in 2001, Trailblazer was cancelled
in 2005, due to millions of dollars in cost overruns. Most recently, SAIC had to pay over $500 million in a settlement over an
employment timekeeping program it managed for New York City, according to an
article by Marjorie Censer in the Washington Post on March 18, 2012. Censer said Preet Bharara, the U.S. Attorney
for the Southern District of New York, called problems in the program “perhaps
the single largest fraud ever perpetrated on the city of New York.” Bacher finishes his piece by saying “The
credibility of Brown’s plan is furthermore called in doubt when one realizes
that the lead consultant for the BDCP until recently was a defense/intelligence
agency contractor that had to pay over $500 million over alleged fraud it
committed in a contract with New York City”.
I whole-heartedly agree. (http://www.dailykos.com/story/2013/01/20/1180585/-Why-is-a-defense-intelligence-contractor-the-lead-consultant-on-Delta-tunnel-plan)
& (http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2012-03-18/business/35449634_1_saic-citytime-fraud)
The Legal & Scientific Aspects
Not surprisingly, numerous law suits have
been filed in court over the Delta smelt issue.
I was able to track down a report entitled “Biological Opinions for the
Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta: A Case Law
Summary”, which lists 58 cases filed in court from inception through January
2012. I will not attempt to summarize all
of the case law history, but I would encourage anyone interested in the legal
aspect to check this reference out. Instead, in this article I will attempt to
point out a few of the highlights and cover more current events that have occurred
since the January 2012 print date of the case law summary. (http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41876.pdf)
The workers and small farmers are suffering the most in this Man-Made drought. |
In 2008, a federal biological opinion handed down by District
Judge Oliver Wanger limited pumping from state and federal diversion projects
in the Delta. In 2010, Judge Wanger’s
decision found that the FWS “failed to
use the best available science in restricting pumping to protect the smelt and
did not consider human and other impacts.”
He also said the analyses supporting specific flow requirements “fatally flawed”
and mostly unsupported. He ordered the
re-write of the biological opinion for the smelt. The scientific testimony by the U.S.
Department of Interior biologists were later reviewed by an “independent panel”
of scientists who offered a mixed bag in their detailed findings. They essentially cleared the science behind
the testimony “finding no evidence of deliberate falsehood or personal
opinion”. They also found that it was
“not clear for the record exactly how the biologists reached the conclusions
they did”. Judge Wanger said “the report
vindicates his criticism of the Interior Department biologists because it also
noted their testimony had inconsistencies and inadequacies.” News articles at the time claimed that the
scientists had been vindicated, but I encourage you to read a rebuttal to their
findings by the Pacific Legal Foundation, referenced below. Judge Wagner retired just following this in
August 2011 and has been replaced by Judge Lawrence O’Neill. On September 11, 2012, the case went before a
three judge panel. The 9th
circuit court focused on whether the lower court improperly held a “battle of
the experts”. A decision is expected in
a couple of months. (http://blog.pacificlegal.org/2012/when-examining-new-delta-smelt-panel-report-proceed-with-caution/), (http://edca.typepad.com/eastern_district_of_calif/2012/01/report-largely-backs-interior-dept-scientists-in-federal-water-lawsuit.html) & (http://www.courthousenews.com/2012/09/11/50165.htm)
After a lot of digging, I was able to track down
information about this “independent scientific panel”, I discovered that the
organization, called “RESOLVE”, was contracted to do this review by the U.S.
Department of the Interior. “RESOLVE” specializes
in mediation between all parties on environmental issues. They have regular on-going Federal contracts
with both the EPA and the Department of Interior. On their website, in the section called
“RESOLVE Today”, they state that “Today, RESOLVE works with partners in the
U.S. and internationally to design innovative, sustainable solutions to the 21st
century’s toughest natural resource, environmental, and public health
challenges. We work to support healthy
people and communities, clear air and water, resilient ecosystems, smart
energy, sustainable development and solutions to natural resource conflicts.” In my opinion, this panel looks anything but
“independent”. They appear to have a
strong environmental and governmental vein to their organization. Anyone who is aware of UN Agenda 21/ICLEI
will see their earmarks all over this organizations’ website. While they claim to be peer reviewed, it
seems to me there might be a conflict of interest here since they were
contracted by the U.S. Department of the Interior to clear the testimony of the
U.S. Department of Interior biologists’ testimony. (http://www.resolv.org/about) & (http://www.resolv.org/about/contracting-vehicles)
In January, 2013, the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service asked for a three year extension to the
December 2013 deadline for the management plans, or biological opinions. The
new judge, U.S. District Judge Lawrence J O’Neill, declined this request. In his eight page opinion dated January 30,
he didn’t outright deny their request for more time, but he did order that more
details be provided about the Collaborative Science and Adaptive Management
Program (CSAMP), as well as recent changes to the Bay Delta Conservation Plan
(BDCP), before making another ruling concerning time frame. O’Niell wrote that the existing documentation
is “as vague as can be imagined about both the agencies concerns regarding the
existing scientific record and how the CSAMP aims to correct those
deficiencies.” He gave them until March
1 to submit additional information. (http://www.acwa.com/news/endangered-and-invasive-species/federal-agencies-asked-provide-further-details-management-plans)
As I was researching the science behind this issue, I
found many references to “bad” or “faulty” science. A lot of these were coming from the judges
presiding over the court cases who are privy to all of the information
available on the subject. In researching
this aspect, I was able to find a “Report in Brief” by the National Academy of
Sciences, entitled “A Review of the Use of Science and Adaptive Management in
California’s Draft Bay Delta Conservation Plan” dated 2011, which said that the
BDCP is “incomplete in a number of important areas”. It
said that it “omits any analysis of the potential impacts of the plan’s
efforts on the San Francisco Bay itself (aside from Suisun Bay)”. They also said that at the time of their
review, the effects analysis was “still in preparation, and was therefore
absent from this draft of the plan, representing a critical gap in the science
underlying the plan and the corresponding conservation actions”. In addition, they found that “the purpose of
the Bay Delta Conservation Plan is not clear, making it difficult to properly
understand, interpret, and review the science that underlies the plan.” It said that there needed to be clarification
of the plans goals; protecting listed species while providing a more reliable
water supply for the state. It said that
“if the Bay Delta Conservation Plan were a broader conservation plan that aims
to protect the ecosystem and provide reliable water supply, then it would be
more logical to carry out an effects analysis, and then identify several
alternative projects to reach the two goals.
Under the latter scenario, choosing the alternative project before
evaluating alternative ways to reach a preferred outcome would be post hoc
rationalization---in other words, putting the cart before the horse. Scientific reasons for not considering
alternative actions are not presented in the plan.” They noted that numerous scientific studies
have sought to understand the hydrolic, geologic, and ecological interactions
in the Delta but that “is not clear how the authors of the BDCP synthesized
this materials and incorporated it into the decision-making process that led to
the plan’s conservation actions. For
example, it is not clear whether the analyses carried out by the numerous other
Delta conversation plans and scientific assessments were used in the draft Bay Delta
Conservation Plan.” The said that
“quantitative evaluation of the environmental stressors that impact species of
interest, ideally using life-cycle models, would strengthen the Bay Delta Conservation
Plan. For example, much of the analysis
of the decline of the smelt and salmonids in the Delta has focused on water
operations, in particular the pumping of water at the south of the Delta for
export in other regions. However, a
variety of other environmental factors have potentially large effects on these
fishes; and considerable uncertainties remain about the impact that different
aspects of flow management of the salinity of the water, have on their
survival.” Another major shortcoming of
the plan is the lack of clarity of how much water will be diverted. They said that without a “clear specification
of the volume of water deliveries, the expected impacts to the ecosystem cannot
be assessed. Overall, the panel concluded
that the Bay Delta Conservation Plan is little more than a list of ecosystem
restoration tactics and scientific efforts, with no coordinated strategy for
reaching the goals of the plan.” They
concluded by saying that “the absence of scientific synthesis in the draft Bay
Delta Conservation Plan draws attention to the fragmented system of management
under which the plan was prepared, lacking coordination and
accountability. No single public agency,
stakeholder or individual was made accountable for the coherence, thoroughness,
and scientific integrity of the final product.” (http://dels.nas.edu/resources/static-assets/materials-based-on-reports/reports-in-brief/bay-delta-report-brief-final.pdf)
In
another article, I read that “The prestigious National Academy of Science, a
collection of scientists from around the United States, spent months looking at
the cause of species decline in the Delta. Their conclusion was many causes
exist that influence the decline and taking action directed at only one factor
is doomed to failure. The scientists clearly stated that it would take a multiple-prong
approach to resolving population issues of species in the Delta. Those other
factors, as they relate to smelt, include predation, water quality, loss of
habitat, and more.” (http://www.cfwc.com/Current-News/opinion-ignores-national-academy-of-science-conclusion.html)
In Conclusion
In conclusion, I agree with both of the
judges that we should use the best science available and that we must consider
humans in the equation. I also agree
with David Luker, general manager of the Desert Water Agency in Southern
California, when he said that “When an environmental law doesn’t take into
account human beings, they are leaving out the most important species.” We need to use a more balanced approach both
in identifying the problems facing the smelt and in the solutions employed to
help them. (http://www.news10.net/news/article/177268/2/Can-the-California-delta-smelt-survive-our-demand-for-water)
We should not assume that the problem lies only with
the water taken from the Delta for human use in households and on farms. Indeed, there seem to be other scientific reasons
for their decline. First, there is a
waste water treatment plant which releases treated water into the environment
that may be causing harm to the smelt.
Second, there are invasive predator fish like the Largemouth Bass and
others that may be consuming the smelt. Also,
natural weather occurrences can have an effect on the smelt environment and
should also be considered. El Nino and
La Nina weather patterns, as well as the periodic drought conditions prevalent
in our state, can mean that the amount of water in the Delta fluctuate from
year to year. This is evident because
there was a boost to the smelt numbers in 2011, a year in which we had above
average rainfall. A New York Times
article entitled “California’s Delta Ecosystem is Healthier, For Now” said that
the “high flows of water from the melting of deep snow in the Sierra provided
enough for both the tiny fish known as the delta smelt, long considered on the
brink of extinction, and for the farming communities that have chafed under
legal rulings requiring them to give up water to keep the smelt and it’s
ecosystem going.” (http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/29/californias-delta-ecosystem-is-healthier-for-now/)
While I agree that we should as a society take care of
our environment and do what is within reason to protect endangered species, I
also think that environmental extremists have hijacked our state and put the
well-being of Fish above the health and well being of Humans. I came across a great piece on this when
researching this article. It was a
Washington Times article entitled “When Sustainability is Code for Bigger
Government”, dated February 25, 2013, by Paul Driessen. This is an excellent article and I highly
recommend that everyone read it. In this
article, Mr. Driessen said that President Obama’s Science Advisor, Eric Holdren,
has said that we cannot talk about sustainability without talking about
Politics, Power, and Control. The author
concludes “that “sustainability” has thus become yet another justification for
bigger government, in the battle over centralized power versus independent
states and sovereign nations, statism versus individual rights and liberties,
and the power and influence of activist non-governmental organizations.” He also said that the outcome of this battle
will determine who is to be Master. I
tend to agree with this conclusion: For whoever controls our resources --- whether
it be our air, food, land, or water – Controls the World. (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/feb/25/driessen-when-sustainability-code-bigger-governmen/?page=all)
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